Thursday, March 28, 2019

Poll: Biden, Bernie, Beto lead Democratic pack

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A new poll of the already-crowded 2020 Democratic presidential race shows three white men — former Vice President Joe Biden, Vermont independent Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke — leading the rest of the field.

In the Quinnipiac University poll, Biden is the top choice of 29 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents surveyed, followed by Sanders at 19 percent, with O’Rourke placing third at 12 percent.

“Hungry for a candidate to take on President Donald Trump, Democrats and Democratic leaners put the three B’s, Biden, Bernie and Beto, at the top in a race where age, race and gender take a back seat to electability and shared views,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll.

California Sen. Kamala Harris ranked in fourth place, backed by 8 percent — with South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren both tied at 4 percent. Sens. Cory Booker (N.J.) and Amy Klobuchar (Minn.) is at 2 percent, with former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro and former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper at 1 percent, according to the poll. Other candidates received less than 1 percent, and 14 percent are undecided, even after being read a list of candidates.

The poll ranked voters’ preferences for the key factors they’re looking for in a presidential candidate. Seven-in-10 Democrats, 70 percent, said that age will not be an important factor in their vote, and 84 percent said gender will also not be an important factor.

Asked to choose between a candidate that most shares their views on issues or a candidate that they think is most electable, Democratic voters split: 51 percent choose the candidate who shares their views, and 45 percent pick the most electable candidate. Perhaps counterintuitively, the most liberal voters in the poll are the ones most concerned with beating Trump in November 2020: A 52 percent majority of Democrats who describe themselves as “very liberal” say they want the most electable candidate, while slight majorities of “somewhat liberal” or “moderate or conservative” Democratic voters prioritize a candidate with whom they agree on issues.

Regarding Trump, the poll showed a majority, 53 percent, of all voters say they definitely will not vote for Trump in the 2020 general election if he is the Republican candidate. Just 30 percent say they definitely will vote for Trump, while another 13 percent said they will consider casting a ballot for the incumbent president. “Definitely” voting for Trump are 77 percent of Republicans, one percent of Democrats and 21 percent of independent voters, the poll showed.

“The loyal base stays the course, but 53 percent of all American voters say they’ve had enough and will not vote for President Trump,” Malloy said.

The poll was conducted March 21–25, surveying 1,358 registered voters. The overall margin of error is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points. The survey included 559 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points.

Article originally published on POLITICO Magazine

Source: https://www.politico.com/story/2019/03/28/quinnipac-poll-biden-bernie-beto-1240488
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The Article Was Written/Published By: Carla Marinucci



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